- According to the US elections project, 98m Americans have already voted
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6.26am GMT
This Michigan Trump rally where Lois Beckett is kicking off her election day is an inverse mullet: business in the back, party up front.
Crowd has thinned out at the back as Trump wraps but at the front people are dancing to YMCA pic.twitter.com/ZEPvYD3ReJ
6.16am GMT
Do you like numbers, when it comes to elections? Hate them? Would you rather hear from a voter or check a polling average?
In this blog, you don’t have to choose – we’ll have all of the above. Including this a few minutes ago from one of the numbers-crunching Nates:
Final joint probabilities:
72%: DEM trifecta
17%: Biden + GOP Senate + DEM House
6%: Trump + GOP Senate + DEM House
3%: Trump + DEM Senate + DEM House
2%: GOP trifecta
Other combinations have negligible chances.
Continue reading…According to the US elections project, 98m Americans have already votedSign up for First Thing – our US morning newsletter 6.26am GMTThis Michigan Trump rally where Lois Beckett is kicking off her election day is an inverse mullet: business in the back, party up front. Crowd has thinned out at the back as Trump wraps but at the front people are dancing to YMCA pic.twitter.com/ZEPvYD3ReJ 6.16am GMTDo you like numbers, when it comes to elections? Hate them? Would you rather hear from a voter or check a polling average? In this blog, you don’t have to choose – we’ll have all of the above. Including this a few minutes ago from one of the numbers-crunching Nates: Final joint probabilities:72%: DEM trifecta17%: Biden + GOP Senate + DEM House 6%: Trump + GOP Senate + DEM House 3%: Trump + DEM Senate + DEM House2%: GOP trifectaOther combinations have negligible chances. Continue reading…