All the latest results and reaction from the presidential runoff between conservative incumbent and liberal Warsaw mayor Rafał Trzaskowski
8.27pm BST
Ben Stanley, an associate professor of politics at the SWPS University in Poland, reckons – with some justification – that it’s going to be a very long night.
Both candidates have cause for cautious optimism, he points out:
In Duda’s favour is that the exit poll underestimated his share of the vote by 1.7% in the first round.
In Trzaskowski’s favour is the direction of travel, with previous leaks suggesting he closed a gap towards the end of polling, and could close it still further when those left queuing at 9pm have voted.
Also, overseas votes are likely to net out positive for him.
8.18pm BST
The Guardian’s Christian Davies says the thing that struck him most forcefully outside polling stations was the influence of the conservative Duda’s anti-LGBT campaign – laced with homophobic rhetoric, it made the fight against so-called “LGBT ideology” one of the incumbent president’s main talking points:
Most striking thing when talking to PiS voters in small towns today: big cut-through by Duda campaign on hostility to LGBT rights – it tended to be the first thing his supporters reached for when explaining their votes. pic.twitter.com/Um1LHbCVkS
Continue reading…All the latest results and reaction from the presidential runoff between conservative incumbent and liberal Warsaw mayor Rafał Trzaskowski 8.27pm BSTBen Stanley, an associate professor of politics at the SWPS University in Poland, reckons – with some justification – that it’s going to be a very long night. Both candidates have cause for cautious optimism, he points out:In Duda’s favour is that the exit poll underestimated his share of the vote by 1.7% in the first round.In Trzaskowski’s favour is the direction of travel, with previous leaks suggesting he closed a gap towards the end of polling, and could close it still further when those left queuing at 9pm have voted.Also, overseas votes are likely to net out positive for him. 8.18pm BSTThe Guardian’s Christian Davies says the thing that struck him most forcefully outside polling stations was the influence of the conservative Duda’s anti-LGBT campaign – laced with homophobic rhetoric, it made the fight against so-called “LGBT ideology” one of the incumbent president’s main talking points:Most striking thing when talking to PiS voters in small towns today: big cut-through by Duda campaign on hostility to LGBT rights – it tended to be the first thing his supporters reached for when explaining their votes. pic.twitter.com/Um1LHbCVkS Continue reading…